2018 need to know what happened to my permanent fund dividend money last year and the year before

A four story concrete building
The Alaska Land Capitol. (Skip Greyness/360 North)

In 2018, state lawmakers took a historic vote, using Alaska'southward Permanent Fund earnings, the almanac acquirement from $80 billion pool of investments originally seeded with oil money, to fund state regime.

For decades, the fund's earnings were spent mainly on dividend checks paid to Alaska residents. The corporeality of each year'south dividend was tied to the rate of return on the fund'south investments.

The 2018 vote aimed at modernizing apply of fund to manage it more similar an endowment. Lawmakers dropped the returns-based formula and switched to yearly spending tied to the fund's full value. They set the limit at 5%, which lawmakers described as the maximum that could exist sustainably used without reducing the fund's spending power.

Now just three years later, lawmakers are closer than e'er to blowing past that limit to fill short-term deficits and pay larger dividends. Such a pace would, in turn, force future generations of Alaskans to pay college taxes or enact steeper spending cuts to keep the state's budget balanced.

In an 11-9 vote two weeks ago, state senators approved spending an actress $i.5 billion beyond the cap to assistance fund near-record Permanent Fund dividend checks of $2,300.

Meanwhile, GOP Gov. Mike Dunleavy has proposed more robust protections for the fund by putting the 5% limit in the Alaska Constitution — while simultaneously proposing $3 billion in overspending to fill deficits that would linger until lawmakers agree to fill them with taxes or budget cuts.

RELATED: New proposal from Gov. Dunleavy would put PFD in Constitution, along with rural electricity fund

For the past eight years, following a crash in oil acquirement, Alaska lawmakers have been filling multi-billion-dollar deficits with coin from other savings accounts.

But those accounts are now finer depleted, spent downward from a combined $16 billion with only $i billion left. That's making the Permanent Fund's earnings an increasingly attractive option to lawmakers who tin spend them with a simple majority vote.

Bert Stedman. (Skip Gray/360 Northward)

"It's a lot easier to get a elementary majority to rob the Permanent Fund than information technology is to become votes to practice taxes," said Sitka Republican Sen. Bert Stedman. "There's no other savings left after this year."

Neither proposal to overspend from the Permanent Fund is concluding.

The Senate'south proposed PFD must exist canonical by the House and signed past the governor before taking effect. And Dunleavy'south plan has drawn a tepid reaction from lawmakers, who must approve a constitutional amendment by a two-thirds majority to transport it to the public for a vote.

Nonetheless, the twin proposals underscore rising pressure from lawmakers to violate their ain spending cap — and the long-term consequences of doing so. Every $1 billion withdrawn from the Permanent Fund costs the land $50 1000000 in future yearly revenue, forever, assuming lawmakers can ultimately concord on annually spending 5% of its overall value.

That means the Senate's programme, with its $1.five billion in overspending, would strength Alaskans to pay $75 million in taxes each year to make up for the lost revenue — or to take $75 million in cuts to land programs. Dunleavy'southward plan, with $3 billion in actress spending, would strength $150 million in upkeep cuts or future taxes.

And that's above and across the cuts or taxes needed to prepare the state's lingering structural budget deficit, which the Legislature'south nonpartisan upkeep analysts estimate would take $1 billion nether Dunleavy's proposal.

Opponents of overspending the Permanent Fund debate it'due south shortsighted, placing unfair demands on hereafter Alaskans in order to pay generous dividend checks to the Alaskans of today.

Making upwards the $150 million in yearly revenues sacrificed by Dunleavy'south plan would crave each of Alaska'due south 730,000 residents to pay $200 in yearly taxes — or to give up that much of their dividends.

Alternatively, lawmakers could completely eliminate almanac unrestricted full general fund spending on the departments of natural resource ($65 million), fish and game ($50 1000000), and environmental conservation ($15 million), and it still wouldn't close the gap.

A white man with a bald head speaks into a microphone
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. (Skip Greyness/360 North)

"Pick your poison: Information technology's poisonous. It's all bad, it all hurts you. It'southward objectively stupid," said Sitka Democratic Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, who chosen overspending "generationally selfish."

"There'south no practiced argument for spending downwards your savings," he added. "Simply as outside of the rarest and nearly fleeting of circumstances in life, there'south no good statement for liquidating your retirement account at historic period 37."

Backers of the Senate's and governor's plans offer a range of supporting arguments.

In an interview, Anchorage Republican Sen. Roger Holland said the unprecedented economic striking from the COVID-19 pandemic justifies the quondam, $i.5 billion in overspending on dividends. He besides indicated he'd be unlikely to back up such a step in the time to come.

Holland, a freshman senator who made larger PFDs part of his campaign platform, said he'southward been hearing from Alaskans struggling to make payments on commercial properties where tenants have stopped paying rent.

"In that location are businesses that are shutting downward that won't exist reopening. And if you were always going to help the individual sector and effort to give a real boost to the Alaskan economy, now would be the time to do it," he said.

Dunleavy's administration argues lawmakers demand the $3 billion in overspending to give them time to settle long-running disputes over the size of the dividend, before they can move on to negotiations virtually taxes or future spending cuts.

The governor's proposal aims to terminate the dividend contend by putting it in the Constitution: Half of the Permanent Fund'south almanac spending would be defended to PFDs, leaving the residue for authorities spending.

Without that certainty around dividend rates, Dunleavy'southward administration argues, it'south also presently to adopt taxes or spending cuts because lawmakers won't know exactly how much money they need to encompass government services.

In the mean time, though, Dunleavy'south assistants projects the land will face a total of $2.8 billion in deficits over the side by side 3 fiscal years, which would be filled with overspending from the Permanent Fund.

Lucinda Mahoney (Office of the Governor)

"We demand a framework to develop the taxes upon. If we don't have a framework, and we have a constantly changing target in regard to dividends, nosotros don't actually know where to set the tax at," Revenue Commissioner Lucinda Mahoney said in an interview last week. "Nosotros don't want to overtax our citizens; we don't want to undertax. We want to do information technology correct."

Dunleavy'south administration has, and then far, largely distanced itself from taxes. Its current proposal includes no specific plans for them, nor firm commitments that the governor will support them to fill deficits that remain afterwards his program is adopted.

Kreiss-Tomkins, the Sitka Autonomous representative, argued that arroyo is backwards. Setting the amount of the dividend in the Constitution is the "piece of cake part," while taxes is the "hard function," he added.

"That does non mean taking a chunk of coin out of the Permanent Fund and saying, 'Oh, we'll effigy information technology out later,'" Kreiss-Tomkins said.

Kreiss-Tomkins said he would, nevertheless, vote in favor of overspending the fund a single fourth dimension — if it settled Alaska's long-term budget questions in one case and for all.

"I would back up a one-time, over-cribbing, were information technology a office of a grand compromise that protected the rest of the Permanent Fund forever, settled the dividend question and got us to a sustainable, balanced budget," he said. "That would be a fully reasonable and appropriate thing."

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Source: https://www.alaskapublic.org/2021/06/01/alaska-lawmakers-set-a-limit-on-spending-from-the-permanent-fund-now-many-want-to-break-it/

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